"Trading is statistics and time series analysis." This blog details my progress in developing a systematic trading system for use on the futures and forex markets, with discussion of the various indicators and other inputs used in the creation of the system. Also discussed are some of the issues/problems encountered during this development process. Within the blog posts there are links to other web pages that are/have been useful to me.
I have now incorporated the revised code for my classifier in my production code and a screen shot of the output on recent S & P 500 data, as of last Friday, is shown below.
The most recent yellow candlesticks indicate that the market is classified as a "down with retracement" market, and the oscillator leading signals (downwards pointing triangles) indicate that the retracement is likely to be over. It will be interesting to see how the classifier performs, in real time, over the coming days.