"Trading is statistics and time series analysis." This blog details my progress in developing a systematic trading system for use on the futures and forex markets, with discussion of the various indicators and other inputs used in the creation of the system. Also discussed are some of the issues/problems encountered during this development process. Within the blog posts there are links to other web pages that are/have been useful to me.
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Wednesday, 13 October 2010
Bayesian Analysis
The thing I'm working on at the moment is applying Bayesian analysis techniques to the trading system, and I'm currently in the research phase consisting of lots of reading and occasional queries to on-line statistical forums. The idea behind this is to develop a methodology to switch between different sets of trading rules, each rule set being applicable to defined market types. More on this as and when I have something relevant to report.
Friday, 8 October 2010
Posting to another forum
Readers of this blog might be interested in a recent forum posting of mine here, under babelproofreader.