"Trading is statistics and time series analysis." This blog details my progress in developing a systematic trading system for use on the futures and forex markets, with discussion of the various indicators and other inputs used in the creation of the system. Also discussed are some of the issues/problems encountered during this development process. Within the blog posts there are links to other web pages that are/have been useful to me.
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Tuesday, 21 September 2010
Recent coding work
Have been working on the various .oct compiled functions and am happy to say that the work on MC re-optimisation of .oct functions for ucl & lcl for price, cybercycle, fisher transformed cybercycle, cybercylce relative to price bars and fisher transformed highpass filter has now been completed and the "to do page" updated accordingly.
Sunday, 19 September 2010
Update on First Trades
The Feeder Cattle trade has been stopped out for a loss in both the Collective2 account and the live trading account. However, the EURCAD forex trade remains open and is showing an open profit of $1602 (on Sunday evening before the markets open) in the Collective2 account. The EURCAD trade was not taken in the live account because the risk was too great for the account size.
Monday, 13 September 2010
First Trades
Today, following signals given by the Bandpass filter, the first two trades of the revised Dekalog system have been opened in the Collective2 account; long Feeder Cattle and long the EURCAD forex pair. The feeder cattle trade has also been taken in a live trading account too. At the time of posting, both are still open. Details will be posted in a follow up blog post.
Monday, 6 September 2010
Highpass filter added
From the same source as indicated in the previous post I have now also added a compiled .oct function for a highpass filter and its adaptive Fisher transformation. Again this indicator is to be used when prices are determined to be cyclic in nature to help identify turning points.
Thursday, 2 September 2010
Addition of new Bandpass Indicator
I have recently written a .oct function to calculate the Bandpass Indicator, the white paper for which can be found here. This indicator will be used with a leading signal to help pin-point price series turns when the said price series is determined to be cycling according to the Dekalog approach.